2019 NFL Offseason Extravaganza

That's a win for Cleveland. Murray was a decent strong safety last year, and Ogbah was, well we did that part already.

Yeah, Ogbah has been such a bust for the Browns, which is a shame. Maybe he'll shine under a different DC.

No one in KC is all that excited, but no one is bummed to see Eric Maurry go, either. Well, Brooke Pryor, a Chiefs beat writer is a little excited.

IMAGE(https://i.imgur.com/ilwrcUf.png)

Chiefs could afford to let Murray go because they signed Tyrann Mathieu who likely will line up at strong safety, which put Murray down to #2. It doesn't sound like they're going to line up Mathieu at free safety, which makes sense because he doesn't like lining up back there.

ESPN can't get the name right of the tight end who broke the single-season receiving yards record last year:

IMAGE(https://i.imgur.com/dsufhcI.jpg)

Greg is close enough. Starts with the same letter.

Greg is an anagram of George.

If you add in some more letters.

garion333 wrote:

Greg is close enough. Starts with the same letter.

Maybe they meant Greg Olsen? He's the best one-footed TE in the league for sure.

Spoiler warning: He can look off a safety and make a pass when coverage is blown.

How exciting...

IMAGE(https://i.imgur.com/kY77xF5.png)

That's why Chris Jones dropped into the 2nd round.

Eddie Lacey worked out for the Ravens.

What is it with the Ravens working out has been RBs?

They want Ray Rice, but not Ray Rice.

garion333 wrote:

Eddie Lacey worked out for the Ravens.

What is it with the Ravens working out has been RBs?

Good question. They signed Mark Ingram. Gus Edwards was good in his small sample size. Dixon's still there too.

Maybe they're just never going to throw it again. Air Force style triple option.

Cowboys finally lock up Demarcus Lawrence with a 5 yr, $105 mil deal. I wonder how many years it really is for. Three? Four? Two?

$65 mil guaranteed.

Probably three, or at least comfortably three, with an option to do it after two but with more dead money than you'd like.

Then again, this is the Cowboys, and pushing money as late as possible for veterans is kind of a longtime practice for them, so who knows.

I believe they're finally out of that contract nightmare situation and are doing things more like the Jags Way.

Except they aren't about signing crappy QBs.

garion333 wrote:

Except they aren't about signing crappy QBs.

I'll not have the Nick Foles slander start until he's good and well earned it

*Legion* wrote:
garion333 wrote:

Except they aren't about signing crappy QBs.

I'll not have the Nick Foles slander start until he's good and well earned it

No problemo:

The Jacksonville Jaguars' long Bortles-ian nightmare is over. Nick Foles' new four-year deal gives the Jaguars not only a Super Bowl MVP, but also one of the most accurate quarterbacks of 2018. By our marks - excluding spikes -- Foles finished second among qualified quarterbacks with a 73.1 percent completion rate. That's a career high for Foles, albeit one set in a small sample size, and much higher than the 60.3 percent mark Blake Bortles put up, fourth-worst in the league. If there's one thing Foles excelled at in 2018, it was keeping the ball off the ground.
That's new Jaguars starting quarterback Nick Foles there in dead last, with a whopping 41.1 percent of his completions (and nearly 30 percent of his pass attempts) ending up as failures. Yes, the small sample size matters here, as Foles just barely had enough passes to qualify for our leaderboards, but that is still a tremendously high number. A ludicrously high number. A record-breakingly high number, as a matter of fact. Foles takes over the record for highest FC% we've ever recorded, beating out one Nicholas Edward Foles for the honors.

It's concerning enough that Foles, the only man to breach the 40 percent barrier, appears twice atop this list. Even more concerning is that these are Foles' last two qualified seasons -- yes, he has a Super Bowl MVP in between them, but he didn't have enough attempts to qualify for the leaderboards in 2017. Foles' FC% was 29.8 percent in the Super Bowl year, which would have ranked 30th that season. In fact, Foles has only had one season where he has had a FC% below 28 percent -- his 2013 Pro Bowl year, where he put up a 23.2 percent FC%.

Apart from that one outlier, Foles' career has been one for taking what opposing defenses give him, and he took that philosophy to a fault last season. Not only did he have the lowest ALEX last season, but a full 20 percent of his pass attempts in 2018 had at least -10.0 ALEX, the second-lowest rate in the league. Depending on your level of charity, he's either an excellent game manager, with the seventh-lowest interception rate among active quarterbacks, or a timid passer, reliant on scheme and YAC to produce any real value.

Of course, Jaguars fans would probably take a game manager at this point in time. When the Jaguars made their playoff run in 2017, their offense focused on limiting the damage Bortles could do, decreasing his passing attempts as much as feasible. Foles may be destroying the value of a completion like no other quarterback in NFL history (or at least none named "Joe Flacco"), but those plays are still completions.

Foles has a much better career sack rate (5.3 percent) and interception rate (2.1 percent) than Bortles (6.9 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively); some of Foles' failed completions actually came when Foles was avoiding those super-negative plays, or incomplete, inaccurately thrown balls. By the binary metric of success/failure, they're bad -- but at least his teams are still moving generally forward. A failed completion is, at the very least, not an incompletion.

In other words, Foles' playing style puts his teams in poor positions, setting them up in third-and-mediums and forcing punts more often than not, but at least he tends to get the ball to the players wearing the proper colored jersey. After eight years of Bortles, Blaine Gabbert, and Chad Henne, a little dink-and-dunk might sound great -- until fans get tired of seeing 1-yard passes on second-and-9.

Another terrific Draw Play cartoon. See if you can find Legion's new profile pic in the comic!

garion333 wrote:

No problemo

Failed completions is kind of a... questionable metric. It punishes the QB that avoids a bad play with a 2 yard completion, but not the one that takes a sack, throws it to the other team, or puts the ball into the ground.

Foles' playing style puts his teams in poor positions, setting them up in third-and-mediums and forcing punts more often than not,

Funny how they didn't bother looking at how much the Eagles actually punted under Foles, because the narrative doesn't really hold up.

2017 punts per game:
Eagles (Foles starting*): 3.8
Eagles (Wentz starting): 3.7
League average: 4.8

*: excludes Week 17 in which Nate Sudfield played the majority of the game

2018 punts per game:
Eagles (Foles starting): 4.1
Eagles (Wentz starting): 3.8
League average: 4.3

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.co...

Sounds like a top notch human being right there..

Leonard Fournette was arrested today for... an unpaid speeding ticket.

Back in November, he was ticketed in Neptune Beach for driving 37 mph in a 25 zone.

Spoiler:

Sounds like a driving-while-black ticket. And why would he not have just paid it?

I think it was the driving on a suspended that got him arrested.

IMAGE(https://i.imgur.com/1csOEUa.jpg)

lol, that'd be amazing. I'd give it < 1 year before NY fans despised him. Take ARod's 'everyone please love me' insincerity and dial it up to 11. But at least ARod was still playing at a HoF level when he got to NY and Wilson is ... well, probably not going to do the same.

For several years now I've wished the Seahawks would trade Wilson for picks and sign Kaepernick. I assumed that'd get 75% of the production for far less than 75% of the cost, and if the team is going to continue to insist on rarely throwing the ball, there's really no good reason to pay the QB so much.

billt721 wrote:

lol, that'd be amazing. I'd give it < 1 year before NY fans despised him. Take ARod's 'everyone please love me' insincerity and dial it up to 11. But at least ARod was still playing at a HoF level when he got to NY and Wilson is ... well, probably not going to do the same.

For several years now I've wished the Seahawks would trade Wilson for picks and sign Kaepernick. I assumed that'd get 75% of the production for far less than 75% of the cost, and if the team is going to continue to insist on rarely throwing the ball, there's really no good reason to pay the QB so much.

Did you skip last season? Russell Wilson was on fire last year.

And for the production you did get, even on the down years, he's been a bargain.

Edit: I had to go back to 2016 to find Kaepernick on the list of cap hits, but he came in at 16th with a $16.8 mil cap hit. Wilson came in 10th, which is significantly higher, but his hit was only $18.5 mil.

In 2017, Wilson dropped to $14.6 mil and the 18th spot, just ahead of Mike Glennon. That's an absolute steal. (Tom Brady had the same cap hit as Mike Glennon, which should tell you all you need to know about being a steal.)

Last year was the first time Wilson really impacted the cap in a significant way with 8th overall at $23.8 mil. And what did he do? Was a top 5 QB.

This year he bumps to the 6th spot with a hit of $25.3 mil. And that's a number that I expect will be different if/when the new contract gets done.

So far in his career the Seahwaks have had one of the best deals in the league. Yes, his rookie contract is what got them to the Super Bowl, but he was being paid absolute peanuts on his rookie deal. Kaepernick might've given you similar production, but I seriously doubt it would've been worth it considering he's older than Wilson, if we're to talk about giving HoF production. Keap's production was tailing off every year he was in the league. Only his ability to avoid interceptions was mostly steady, while his other production continued to get worse. Both he and Wilson have been claimed to take too many sacks because they like to run around, which is true, but Wilson's career ANY/A (which takes sacks into consideration) is 6.95 while Kaep is 6.07. Kaep is closer to Blake Bortles than he is to Wilson and that's taking into account Kaep's best years, which we're now 6-7+ years removed from.

You may want 75% of Wilson's production for 75% of the price, but what would that have gotten you on the field? What's an extra $10 mil to a team anymore? It's nothing. Only if Kaep had given you minimum salary production would dumping Wilson for Kaep make sense and that was never going to happen. For 2019 that means your choices are two-fold: (1) Rookie contract or (2) Nick Foles. You want to gamble with a rookie? No thanks. Heck, at this point I'm not sure I'd want to gamble with Kaep since he's (unfortunately) been out of the league so long. Best case scenario the Seahawks would've gotten Kaep for 90% of Wilson's costs and 90% of his production. But you'd have to have the 2012-2013 seasons of Kaep repeat themselves, while Wilson is still giving HoF production to you this day.

Oof