Apologies for the Thursday game mishap last week. I'll be careful to not repeat it.
Bengals at Browns: The battle for Ohio, part 2 (already? They faced off for the first time in week 2). Last time, the Browns put up more yardage but could not win the battle on the scoreboard. Vegas gives them a decent shot at home, placing them as 1-point underdogs at home despite being the 0-5 ballclub versus the 3-2 Bengals. This will be one of their better chances to avoid going winless, and I think the Browns indeed pull it off, on their way to a 3-13 season record.
Colts at Jets: The shocking comeback Andrew Luck & Co pulled off against the Packers wasn't enough to get the oddsmakers' respect, as the Colts enter this game as 3 point underdogs to a Jets team who, save for a little fight at the end of last week's game, have looked nearly non-functional for the past 2 weeks. Mark Sanchez's accuracy - below the levels of even early season rookie Blaine Gabbert - has been so bad that Tim Tebow not only remains a threat to play, but potentially a viable upgrade. Sanchez's run as the starting QB of the Jets hangs by a thread. I think we're about to see that thread cut, and the rise of weeks of Tebowmania. God help us. Colts
Vikings at Redskins: Christian Ponder continues his efficient ascent, and has the Vikings at 4-1, after the team went 3-13 last season. A perfect example of how much difference a QB makes in today's NFL, even one who is "just" efficient. The story for Washington, of course, will be RG3's return from a concussion that knocked him out of last week's game. Washington's only chance to win games this year appears to be to outrun the bevy of points their defense gives up - and they can do that when RG3 and Alfred Morris are rolling. I'm going to wager that RG3 isn't 100% this week, and the Vikings methodically pick apart the floundering Redskin defense.
Broncos at Chargers: Peyton Manning may have lost the "Brady v. Manning" war, but one could hardly lay the blame on Manning himself, after throwing for 337 yards and 3 TDs, nearly identical from the week before. Manning has been on fire, but it hasn't been enough for Denver, who at 2-3 are looking up at the division leading Chargers. Of course, playing against the Texans and Patriots already might have something to do with that. The Chargers have gotten to 3 wins by beating up on chumps, masking some of their issues. I expect they'll have a hard time containing the Broncos passing attack.
And the die roll gives us the largest spread game:
Raiders at Falcons: To the surprise of no one, Atlanta is favored heavily at home against a struggling Raiders team. Is there any way I can spin this to possibly give the Raiders a chance? Well, they have Darren McFadden, but at 3.5 yards per carry so far this year, he's been quite disappointing (just not Chris Johnson bad). If there's a Matt Ryan injury early, Luke McCown is bad enough to fail at the throw-it-up-to-Roddy-and-Julio job. So, maybe then. Failing that, though, Falcons.
Last week's results:
Certis: 3-1 (the march of 3's continues)
Jolly Bill: 1-3
Secret Asian Man: 1-3
Season to date:
Jolly Bill: 14-9
Secret Asian Man: 9-14