Bold Predictions, One Year Later

The reason I like doing bold predictions is that they either end up making me look really smart or really stupid. There's no middle ground. Check out my article from just under a year ago, notice that few people were (wo)man enough to make any bold predictions themselves. Cowards.

The Nintendo Revolution will launch on November 19th, 2006 with a special edition re-release of Zelda: Twilight Princess. This new version of the game will include slightly better graphics and new dungeons made specifically for the Revolution controller wand. Fans will curse as they buy the game a second time, Miyamoto-san will chuckle as he tends his tomato garden.

Little did we know that Nintendo would drop the Cube release into December, after the "revolution" version shipped. I stand by the chuckling bit.

The PS3 will launch two days following the Revolution, complete with a new Metal Gear Solid game and"… not much else but sports and ports.

Two days BEFORE. Damn crystal ball. No Metal Gear Solid either, but I wasn't far off on the ports thing.

The Xbox 360 game line-up will be all Nintendo 64esque until Fall of 2006 when Halo 3 launches. Console sales will be hyped when compared to the Xbox, despite average numbers when compared to anything else.

Bam! Take Halo 3 out of there and I nailed it.

The PC market will continue to be represented more and more by developers over-seas until Windows Vista is released. After that we get more console ports and slightly less-buggy European games.

Hard to say. I think we had some strong North American PC releases this year.

The new Sin episodes to be released on Valve's Steam service will release with a bang and end with an uninspired whimper.

Bow before me, mortals. Tremble too!

Valve's Steam service will continue to cater to some big names in PC gaming looking to get out from under a publishers thumb. Warren Specter will adopt me.

Sign the damn documents, Warren! I'm a prophet now!

Sony's PSP game library will continue to languish until the end of May when some actual games are released for the system.

I was ... right? Loco Roco and ... hmm.

The Nintendo DS will be re-released with an updated design to compete with the sexy sleekness of the PSP.

I'm going to need a funny hat for my TV appearances.

Hellgate London will be the FPS Diablo you never wanted. Still fun though.

To be continued ...

The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion will be excellent thanks to Sean Bean and despite the piggish graphics engine.

I'll take it!

Elysium will shave off his beard and the world will collapse in on itself.

One Burning Crusade beta key and it would have happened. Damn you Blizzard!

Gears of War will redefine what it means to poke your head around cover to shoot at bad guys. Over and over again.

Nailed it.

Pyro will finally punch me in the face at E3, we all know he wants to. I will shock him and everyone within 15 feet with how profusely I can bleed.

I never saw KrazyTaco coming. Thank god.

With sweat technology finally mastered, developers will turn their attention to making games as unnecessarily like movies as possible. You thought lens flares were bad? Just wait for the extreme camera shaking and blur effects!

Rainbow Six Vegas? Blur city. Gears of War? Shake it like a snow globe. I win!

The Age of Empires III expansion will launch, no will care.

I have THE GIFT.

Fletcher will buy Starwars: Battlefront 3 just to piss me off.

He still might, but it's not out yet.

Guitar Hero: Karaoke Revolution will be out just in time for Christmas. Rocking out never sounded so bad.

"Smooooooooooooke on the water! Something something something"

Damn.

Wow, pretty close on all of them! So, when do we get to read your 2007 predicitions? And can you check your crystal ball for Mass Effect & Bioshock release dates?

When the DS lite came out this summer, I remembered your prediction and was impressed. Do this year's predictions in quatrains and we shall call you Certisdamus.

Pfft...

Nei wrote:

2006...! Nei might finally get Xbox 360!

...Indeed I have!

gtnissanfan wrote:

When the DS lite came out this summer, I remembered your prediction and was impressed. Do this year's predictions in quatrains and we shall call you Certisdamus.

QFT

Certis, the first half of the list was kinda iffy, the European thing was WAY off in my opinion... but the second half of the list is Most Impressive. If you can do that well for a couple more years, the Certisdamus tag could be yours.

Not bad. Bring on the 2007 predictions.

The PC market will continue to be represented more and more by developers over-seas until Windows Vista is released. After that we get more console ports and slightly less-buggy European games.

Hard to say. I think we had some strong North American PC releases this year.

And we also had some very buggy Euro games with Gothic 3 and Guild 2 being the shiny examples.

Certis wrote:

Mex will develop a third nipple and wonder if this time he should take a harder look at monogamy.

DEAR GOD

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

souldaddy wrote:

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

I could have gone all day without that visual.

Please let us know one bold prediction for 2007 boss, just a teaser!

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

I totally skimmed over this. My eyes.

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

Once more for the people.

Demiurge wrote:
souldaddy wrote:

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

I could have gone all day without that visual.

My wife asked from across the room what I was laughing at. So I read it to her. Poor girl.

If this thread were a comic, Certis would walk into a room with the rest of us and push people aside with his elephant-sized nuts.

Any predictions regarding Nair?

Meh. I'd've been more impressed if he predicted that Nintendo was going to change the name of its console to something quite similar to a male appendage. Now that's clairvoyance.

Predicting Nintendo will redesign hardware a year after a launch is to easy.. next you'll tell us that next year we'll see the Wii in several colors..

...

Tell me something difficult.. like for instance.. will 2007 see a single 360 SKU at $299? or just about when will Sony signal utter desperation and drop the PS3 $100 across the board?

Tell me something difficult.. like for instance.. will 2007 see a single 360 SKU at $299?

Two SKUs 4 lif3!

just about when will Sony signal utter desperation and drop the PS3 $100 across the board?

$50 by next Christmas.

Oh, and you will die a terrible, terrible death.

Yeah, that's some pretty decent accuracy there Certis. You should like write articles or something.

I'll have to think about some predictions for the new year, but one I'm thinking is more and more likely is that Ritual Entertainment will go under. Everyone with any talent (as it were) has left there already and currently it appears as though Sin Episode 2 is up in the air (I think it was supposed to be out already.) It didn't sell what they expected and it appears as though the team's been fractured. Anyone else got some?

I'll probably do a proper predictions article in the new year. In fact, I foresee it.

I wonder how annoying I can be about all this before I move on

TheGameguru wrote:

Predicting Nintendo will redesign hardware a year after a launch is to easy.. next you'll tell us that next year we'll see the Wii in several colors..

That's... That's impossible!

Certis wrote:

I'll probably do a proper predictions article in the new year. In fact, I foresee it.

I wonder how annoying I can be about all this before I move on :drink:

I'm a little worried by this. I'm sure you all remember how annoying this little gem was.

I predict I will punch Certis in his virtual face if he doesn't stop skirting the issue.

Skirting what now?

Blank post.

Certis wrote:
Tell me something difficult.. like for instance.. will 2007 see a single 360 SKU at $299?

Two SKUs 4 lif3!

just about when will Sony signal utter desperation and drop the PS3 $100 across the board?

$50 by next Christmas.

Oh, and you will die a terrible, terrible death.

gah! good thing I wear my blue eye bead 24/7 you never tell a Greek stuff like that.. even in jest

Simpsons quotes should be exempt, but I guess the world just doesn't work that way. My apologies.

Certis wrote:

Simpsons quotes should be exempt, but I guess the world just doesn't work that way. My apologies.

Hey, I used the same quote recently in a GWJ thread... to no avail. But then again, a conversation with my best friends ALWAYS ends with a salvo of Simpson quotes.

We're not crazy, they are.

We're not crazy, they are.

That's because they're not NOT licking toads!

Nicely done those predictions. I will dig up my leather ball and ask it to make some bold predictions myself. The first will be that I will lose even more sleep over gaming this year. Or is that more of a natural occurrence?

Certis wrote:

Quote:The Xbox 360 game line-up will be all Nintendo 64esque until Fall of 2006 when Halo 3 launches. Console sales will be hyped when compared to the Xbox, despite average numbers when compared to anything else.
Bam! Take Halo 3 out of there and I nailed it.

You're kidding, right? Oblivion, Fight Night, GRAW, Splinter Cell, Call of Duty 2, Tomb Raider, Condemned, PGR3, and all the Live Arcade stuff hardly adds up to "Nintendo 64esque". I mean Oblivion by itself pretty much blows that idea right up, the N64 being the game system without a single decent RPG for the first few years of its lifespan.

I think maybe you say "Nintendo 64esque" and forget how truly thin that actually was. A game as good as even Tomb Raider would've been a huge deal in the first couple of years of the N64. Or did you forget people playing games like Star Wars: Shadows of the Empire and Turok?