Bold Predictions 2008

Bold Predictions 2008

IMAGE(http://www.gamerswithjobs.com/files/images/nostradacertis1.jpg)

We had a pretty good run last year. Bold predictions were made and many came to pass as foretold. Sure, some of my predictions may seem to have been wrong, but if you read them again the deeper meanings will be revealed. This year will be special, I've brought friends and we've all imbibed a special tonic that spreads wide the legs of the mind "… to the future!

- As I predicted last year, Grand Theft Auto IV was indeed delayed. This year, the game will finally ship with a full online coop mode and some surprising multiplayer team play features.

- There were too many original games last year. I see many sequels, expansions and download content for all games on all platforms. We will count the good, original games on one hand this year for each platform.

- After Super Smash Brothers, Nintendo will redouble their efforts to crush the hopes of long time Nintendo fans, placing their best and brightest on games better suited for your great aunt Edna.

- No Metal Gear Solid 4 until Fall. Insult to injury, the Xbox 360 version will be announced within weeks of the PS3 release. This may seem like last year's prediction, but last year's WAS ACTUALLY THIS YEAR'S! WoooOOOooo.

- In a misguided effort to over-compensate, Microsoft will release a motion control device into the market, only to be greeted by crickets. The niche is filled, gentlemen.

- The will be yet another Nintendo DS model to hit the market. Lighter, brighter and missing the GBA port. It will come in pink.

- The PS3 will gain ground, but as the PS2 sales slow down, the system will see another price cut in the Fall.

- The Gamers With Jobs Conference Call podcast will reach number 1 on the Bosnian iTunes.

- Two prominent gaming magazines will perish.

- Alan Wake? Not this year. Sorry.

And now, a little help from my friends. Spread them wide, everyone!

Elysiumadamus

- While the Wii will still dominate the majority of the year, the Playstation 3 will outsell the 360 on the year, and outsell the Wii on at least 2 months.

- In an effort to regain their dominant position in the industry, EA will finally buy Ubisoft.

Robadamus

- In an effort to stay competitive and reinvigorate their Live Anywhere promises, Microsoft will stop charging for Gold Live accounts by the end of the year.

rabitadamus-lamalamadingdong

- Ken Levine emerges from his basement lair, after spending 9 months rubbing $100 bills on his nipples, to ooze excitement about "project X" in late summer. Gamers everywhere rejoice. Rumors that Levine is contrasting the ethics of Marx, Capitalism and National Socialism in his next effort are proven unfounded.

- The release of the iPhone SDK in February will pave the way for a half dozen open-source game projects which will put the professional handheld game design community to shame. The offerings will be simple, elegant, and addictive. One will bought by Popcap by years end.

The Flyadamus

- Nintendo will release an Animal Crossing title for the Wii in time for the holiday sales rush, and its online features will lead it to become one of the most celebrated and sought-after titles on the platform.

- Valve won't release Episode III until Fall, but it'll come packaged with a title that expands upon the themes and settings introduced in Portal. It'll include more storytelling and less puzzle-solving than its predecessor.

Nylesadamus

- XBox gamers will complain that Devil May Cry 4 is too hard, while PS3 owners will say it's too easy. Riots erupt, martial law declared, police state.

- Spore will be downright unplayable on launch, but EA will release a zero day patch, and then re-patch it over and over again. Three months later, Spore becomes self-aware and begins patching EA.

There you have it, my children. You have one week to enter your own predictions in this thread before I lock it down. No take backs! Also be sure to check out the Bold Predictions 2007 Score Card thread to rate your predictions from a year ago.

Comments

- Xbox Live Gold will not be free, so long as people don't cancel their accounts for whatever free stuff Sony's offering.

- StarCraft II will be greeted with a collective "meh" by the US. Thousands of South Koreans will die in the weeks following launch, however.

- Windows Vista, still ain't happening for gamers.

- Star Wars: The Force Unleashed will be an average game that barely registers on the gaming radar; Ghostbusters, however, will be a blockbuster.

- Wii sales will start to plateau as members of every generation of a family finally get their own. Meanwhile, Nintendo will continue to deny that they're under-supplying the North American market. Sure, like six Wiis are enough for a Wal-Mart for a month.

- PlayStation 3...sorry, few people will still care about it.

- MGS4 will not come out on the 360. Rumors of five dump trucks dropping piles of cash in front of Hideo Kojima's house sent by Sony will be denied.

- Grand Theft Auto IV will be welcomed warmly and quickly returned to the pile once people realize it's no better than any of the previous GTAs and lacks any real personality or charm.

- Mass Effect 2 will be unveiled and people will be intrigued. BioShock 2 will be revealed and gamers will be confused. Assassin's Creed 2 will be announced and web sites will take potshots at Jade Raymond.

- Microsoft will expand Xbox Live to include music downloads.

- Left 4 Dead will quickly overtake TF2 as the top multiplayer shooter.

- Dragon Age gets heavily previewed but is still a year from release.

So why there isn't a single prediction about Duke Nukem yet?

I predict PC gaming will still not die in 2008.

I predict Dwarf Fortress will just keep on getting better.

Gorilla.800.lbs wrote:

So why there isn't a single prediction about Duke Nukem yet?

DNF will not release in 2008.

The Wii will continue to sell extremely well but third-party titles will completely tank as they always do. Nintendo will not abandon their hardcore fans but games for those players will continue to trickle out. People will bitch there's nothing to play on it while continuing to ignore great third-party titles like Zac & Wiki and Umbrella Chronicles.

I strongly Agree

- A group of unknowns in a basement will come up with a full-featured FPS as a mod to Portal. It will average 30 hours of playtime, have an original backstory, and be extrememly popular. Valve will hire them, and they will go on to create the surprise hit of the Ultraviolet Box in 2012 (packaged with HL3:Ep7 and CounterStrike Classic 2).

McChuck wrote:

An extended play n' drink session of Team Fortress 2 will get me pretty buzzed. The following morning will be a search for my underpants.

Yes. Massive Yes.

Quintin_Stone wrote:

I predict PC gaming will still not die in 2008.

I believe we can call it thriving, after what everyone has done to kill it and it won't die. PC gaming is like HIV. You can't kill it.

-Boogle will be thrown out of yet another movie theater for calling a girl using her phone a "heartless harpy whose loose morals are dwarfed only by her loose you know what"

-College students will still be short on cash

-Windows Vista will still never be embraced by gamers because of RAM usage. DDR2 RAM prices continue to drop.

-OU will continue to be easy. And will loose another BCS bowl.

-Boogle will wake up after 'Drink and TF2 night' with McChuck's underwear in room. Hilarity will not ensue.

- WotLK will break some kind of sales record

- an unknown MMO will be anounced or released that escapes everyones radar and will be hailed as the new standard.

- a new MMO will be announced that's not The Agency or The Secret World that is tightly combined with an ARG component.

- Shadowrun MMO will be announced

-ranalin will obsess over MMOs

Sony will continue to shoot themselves in the foot with the PS3, but they won't realize it this year since the sales will still be pushed by the PS2's insane popularity. MGS4 and/or GTAIV will delay this public execution we all want.

The Wii will start to flounder in its sales domination at the end of the year when the rest of the gaming world realizes it needs more than casual games to keep interest. A month after Melee is out the Wii will be able to be found in stores more easily, unless..

New colors for the Wii are announced. Pink and Black are most likely.

The 360 will stay in a strong second until the RRoD problem becomes more apparent as everyone's machines start failing. The new hardware finally becomes standard in all stores.

Left 4 Dead will come and go. Only a handful of gamers will notice, but they will love it.

GTA IV pushed to the end of this year.

MGS 4 maybe released this year, and if so it'll be 95 percent movie, four percent gameplay, and one percent spreading ketchup on yourself as you lay naked on the ground.

Fallout 3 will be incredible. It'll sell like crap.

The PSP will actually do very well, enough to make..

The DS drop in price or offer a new color bundle.

We'll look back at 2007 and smile at how good it was in gaming, and how meh 2008 is.

The Phantom is released. Somehow. And, to the surprise of everyone, it sucks.

rabitadamus-lamalamadingdong wrote:

The release of the iPhone SDK in February will pave the way for a half dozen open-source game projects which will put the professional handheld game design community to shame. The offerings will be simple, elegant, and addictive. One will bought by Popcap by years end.

THE FUTURE IS NOW!

iPhone Playstion emulator
iPhone Lucasarts emulator <--- killer app!!!
iPhone NES emulator

- Games will be released.

- I will be happy.

Gorilla.800.lbs wrote:

So why there isn't a single prediction about Duke Nukem yet?

Why even bother?

Allright...

- In September 2008 George Broussard will be hospitalized for undisclosed reasons. Duke Nukem Forever will be renamed to George Broussard Forever to lift up his spirits after the surgery. Eventually the project will drift into an in-house project, a sort of a shrine to the greatness of 3D Realms circa 1996. In 2009 GBF will be released to little fanfare, featuring dated graphics. Nobody will know what it is.

boogle wrote:

-ranalin will obsess over MMOs

will? dude i've been doing it for years.

ranalin wrote:
boogle wrote:

-ranalin will obsess over MMOs

will? dude i've been doing it for years.

So...I'm right. YAY!

Nintendo will release a free WiiWare "channel" that will permit you to play DVD movie disks with your Wii, anticipating the 2011 Wii2, which will be much the same console, except its optical drive will play DVDs, HD-DVDs, BlueRay, as well as the high-definition disk format that "really wins".

Why is it that as soon as rabbit and I start writing for GFW, everyone starts predicting they'll go out of business?

Parallax wrote:

Those who try to push out unfinished games and charge for the bits to complete them will be met with a stronger backlash than many (including myself) expected.

So you predict that something will happen to a greater extent than you predict? Make sure that when you do this, you also hold the palms of your hands to your temples and squeeze your eyes shut.

nossid wrote:
shihonage wrote:

- Someone will make a car with a transparent HUD overlay on the windshield.

That's a pretty safe bet since it's been done for years.

nossid is right. A HUD overlay of some kind has been available on several GM vehicles for years, going all the way back into the mid to late 90's somewhere. I believe it started on the Corvette but I could be very, very wrong on that. I do know for a fact that I test drove an '02 Grand Prix GTP coupe that actually had the feature. It was pretty nifty really. There's days when I still wish I'd bought the car. Then I think about the gas mileage and feel an urge to go hug my Focus.

boogle wrote:

-Boogle will be thrown out of yet another movie theater for calling a girl using her phone a "heartless harpy whose loose morals are dwarfed only by her loose you know what"

Brilliant!

Thin_J wrote:
nossid wrote:
shihonage wrote:

- Someone will make a car with a transparent HUD overlay on the windshield.

That's a pretty safe bet since it's been done for years.

nossid is right. A HUD overlay of some kind has been available on several GM vehicles for years, going all the way back into the mid to late 90's somewhere. I believe it started on the Corvette but I could be very, very wrong on that. I do know for a fact that I test drove an '02 Grand Prix GTP coupe that actually had the feature. It was pretty nifty really. There's days when I still wish I'd bought the car. Then I think about the gas mileage and feel an urge to go hug my Focus.
!

I was thinking more of a HUD from Terminator 2. A HUD that is a transparent screen that overlays virtual information about surrounding objects onto the real view of them. An integrated 3D GPS that superimposes over the real view of the road, detects speed of bypassing cars, risk factors, enhances visibility, things like that.

Danjo Olivaw wrote:
Parallax wrote:

Those who try to push out unfinished games and charge for the bits to complete them will be met with a stronger backlash than many (including myself) expected.

So you predict that something will happen to a greater extent than you predict? Make sure that when you do this, you also hold the palms of your hands to your temples and squeeze your eyes shut.

I didn't phrase that very well. What I meant is that when DLC and the whole idea of microtransactions was announced, I and many others had feared that publishers would start releasing games basically unfinished and would charge you for the parts to complete them. I expected that most gamers would just go along with this since most forums and the gaming press were championing microtransactions at the time. Since then, most DLC hasn't done that well and most of it's gone free within a couple of months. Publishers have been getting the message that gamers don't want to pay extra for a complete experience. Already I've been surprised by how little success the DLC model has met with considering how big it was supposed to be and based on that, I think future backlash against any publisher that tries to do that will be much stronger than I had predicted it would be when this business model was first floated.

My dad's 1995 Bonneville SSE had a HUD.

Thin_J wrote:

nossid is right. A HUD overlay of some kind has been available on several GM vehicles for years, going all the way back into the mid to late 90's somewhere. I believe it started on the Corvette but I could be very, very wrong on that. I do know for a fact that I test drove an '02 Grand Prix GTP coupe that actually had the feature. It was pretty nifty really. There's days when I still wish I'd bought the car. Then I think about the gas mileage and feel an urge to go hug my Focus.

My 1998 Bonneville SSEI has one of those displays. It shows the speedometer and indicates what turn signals are on, if the high-beams are on and if I'm low on gas. It's kind of neat but somewhat useless as all the gauges are 6 inches below it.

Edwin wrote:

My dad's 1995 Grand Prix SSE had a HUD.

I doubt a 1995 car had the kind of HUD I had in mind. (See 3 posts above).

I was typing when you posted that. =\

My predictions:

The makers of Hellgate: London will go bankrupt. It will be picked up by a Korean buyer, merged with LOTR Online and one other game unknown in the US, and will continue to grow, despite continuing diatribes.

The release night of Wrath of the Lich King will break a sales record. It will be on Fox News.

LucasArt's Star Wars game for the Wii will be hailed as the best thing to happen to YouTube since the Star Wars Kid. There will be hilarity. Otherwise, it will mostly suck.

Spore will be awesome, and a grass roots Sporepedia Card Game will be out on the internet, made by fans, in the months following. The following year, Wizards of the Coast makes a Spore Collectable Card Game, or a Magic: the Gathering set based on it, but it will tank.

Starcraft 2 Day will be an official Korean holiday, delaying World War 3 for that much longer... until the game tanks, and we all explode.

Guild Wars 2 will struggle against Wrath of the Lich King sales, as well as people farming for titles/items in the previous campaigns. 3 months later, it will either tank or exceed Starcraft 2 and/or Wrath of the Lich King in some area.

The Game Industry will finally find their balance between innovation and genre standards, gameplay and graphics, profit, promptness, and popularity, only to be told to ignore it by the new EA-trust.

Google will leak info about their support of a Linux-based OS. Microsoft will go berserk. Apple will LOL, and also support it, out of spite. With the discovery of a new form of fusion from studying the E8 Theory of Everything, the resulting technological lovechild will create the first true AI, and Matrix fans everywhere will go nuts. The Matrix Online MMO will make a small comeback. Biofuels die a quiet death.

The election will undergo massive scrutiny following a controversy involving vote-counting or some aspect of never-before-heard bureaucracy, or the failure to predict, prevent, or rebuild after California shatters like a dinner plate from a massive earthquake, killing millions, and destroying approximately 100 Starbucks and Waffle Houses, making them go bankrupt. The ensuing political controversy nearly destroys the current president. Mexico and Canada invade the US. Ambitious Chinese unions crash the dollar, and will fling the US into the Second Great Depression, which the President of that time will either suck miserably at it, or be the next Greatest Leader EVAR, saving his career and making him get re-elected, only to reveal that they are the Anti-Christ in their second term, over internet streaming video.

VR kills the internet star. LOLcats is reborn on the new medium.

The movie industry will continue to make crappy sequels. Books continue to sell well. Terry Goodkind will make some kind of public announcement that leads to political suicide, and he dies a quiet, lonely, death. A medical breakthrough involving buckyball viro-nanobots saves Terry Pratchett's life, which signifies the start of the decline of his writing. Comparisons to Piers Anthony are made. Bookworms everywhere mourn.

Dam I forgot to mention DNF! I was totally going to make a prediction on that.

DNF Christmas 2008 - You heard me!

I also predict that the new GWJ site will go live one more time only to back down a few hours later, to than come back up permanently several weeks later!

Boogle will still not get the hint.

KaterinLHC wrote:

Why is it that as soon as rabbit and I start writing for GFW, everyone starts predicting they'll go out of business? :(

Yeah. Phoey on you.

And on the iPhone: emulation that requires hacking my device and then installing ROMs of questionable legality is a long way from an easily accessible open-source project that meets with broad aclaim. And I hate to say this but at this point in my life, there are essentially no games from those platforms I'm dying to play on my phone. At this point I own every major console and a PC, and can play them all half a dozen different ways. What is intriguing is a unique, original iPhone game that makes use of all the cool stuff built in (accelerometers, cell triangulation, microphone, prox sensor, camera, storage capacity) - I can think of a half dozen fun ARG kinds of things that seem right up iPhone alley.

kaostheory wrote:

Boogle will still not get the hint.

Never will I get any sort of hints. I have a low subtlety multiplier.
[quote=Thin_J]

nossid wrote:
shihonage wrote:

- Someone will make a car with a transparent HUD overlay on the windshield.

boogle wrote:

-Boogle will be thrown out of yet another movie theater for calling a girl using her phone a "heartless harpy whose loose morals are dwarfed only by her loose you know what"

Brilliant!

It happened once at a screening of I am legend. I merely predict it will happen again.