Looks like things are heating up so I wanted to establish a discussion area so no one will have to parse which group is appropriate for which discussion, and it’s all in one place.
My prognostication - my worry - is that an agreement may have been set between Russia and China such that Ukraine becomes not just an invasion to destabilize Eastern Europe, but a kind of feint for a simultaneous lightning invasion of Taiwan. I’m disturbed by the fact that Putin has taken time from the planning and his internal troubles to sit face to face with the Chinese leadership. I suppose he could be arguing for logistical and diplomatic assistance but if it were me I’d say he’s offering them a chance to go at Taiwan while the US is very stressed and focused elsewhere.
Again, though, this is a general discussion space not limited to uninformed guesses. That’s just my own kickoff thoughts.