Random non sequitur posts catch-all thread

I WANTED TO MAKE SURE I GOT IT RIGHT

Give him a break. The letters aren't even in order.

Maybe he learned it from the wrong song?

ABC123DOHRAYME

My brain is built to type words, that game does not agree with me. I can type words fine without looking at the keys, but I had to look to even attempt that remotely successfully, and I still didn't do better than 6.5 seconds.

Friday's XCKD is doing my head in. I thought we had answers to half of that.

I think my new hobby is scrolling through r/AppleWatch and downvoting all new posts of pics of people’s hairy wrists.

You sure you're not in r/Rule34?

Por que no los dos?

Robear wrote:

You sure you're not in r/Rule34? :-)

Is… is that a real sub? It’s probably a real sub, but I’m too afraid to check!

PaladinTom wrote:
Robear wrote:

You sure you're not in r/Rule34? :-)

Is… is that a real sub? It’s probably a real sub, but I’m too afraid to check!

It itself is the Rule34 of Reddit subs. Reddit Subception!

/checks

IMAGE(https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5985346fdb29d60e9d206ab3/1504563419142-KXJEQ1UQ2I8R0PQYV28H/i-dont-know-what-i-expected-gif-10.gif)

Maybe this should go here.

IMAGE(https://www.boredpanda.com/amazing-facts/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=BPFacebook&fbclid=IwAR3obOUQ0GupnuPkaTqBCYZMAHWFjNRFJxruGBZLQ5TH_iJq1Fe9-siHv-E)

Just before the Nazis invaded Paris, H.A. and Margret Rey fled on bicycles. They were carrying the manuscript for Curious George.
Michael Jordan makes more money from Nike annually than all of the Nike factory workers in Malaysia combined.
The "most typical human" is right-handed, makes less than $12,000 per year, has a mobile phone, and doesn't have a bank account.
Along with the five traditional senses of sound, sight, touch, smell and taste, humans have 15 “other senses.” These include balance, temperature, pain and time as well as internal senses for suffocation, thirst, and fullness.
In the mid-1980s, Fergie of The Black Eyed Peas was the voice of Charlie Brown's sister Sally.
Vending machines kill 4 times as many people as sharks per year.
There are more atoms in a single glass of water than glasses of water in all the oceans of the Earth.
You're more likely to become the President than you are to win the lottery.
The English word with the most definitions is "set."
farley3k wrote:
Vending machines kill 4 times as many people as sharks per year.

The most surprising aspect of this one that some sharks are killed by vending machines each year.

I need more details about the vending machines. Do they just fall over? People tip them? Foodborne illnesses? WTF?

Usually people approach the vending machine when it is with its young and act all surprised when it mauls them. They have all that food in them for a reason.

Vendicide is real!

Wait what lottery?
On subject of our senses, I recently learned that we have no sense of wetness. It is inferred from our senses of touch and temperature.

Big Magic the Gathering rant

I've got some really mixed feelings today. Not sure where else I can thought dump, so you lot are my victims.

I adore Magic the Gathering. I've had some great times playing with mates, and I love the mechanical/logical nature of it. Great game.

I stopped playing a few years ago when my local group moved away. My local game store became toxic, and the prices. My god, the prices! They sky-rocketed. I slowly watched Magic turn into more and more of an investor's market. Product getting snapped up quickly and supply drying up because people would purchase everything and keep it tucked away in binders to rise in price.

Was thinking of starting up again with the new game shop that opened up recently. The Warhammer crossover was cool, but was priced about 35-40% higher than usual stuff. They bungled the supply (seemingly intentionally, because pre-order numbers were finalised) and caused a huge spike in price/demand. Then they announced a 30-year anniversary pack of NON-LEGAL "proxy" cards (4 boosters $999 USD). With this, the company made it clear they intend to keep the game a stock market. It's not for the players, it's for the people wanting monetary value in their cardboard.

So last night I put the majority of my cards on Facebook Marketplace. I sold them at buylist prices (30-40% under), and didn't bother converting the AUD-USD difference. Cheap cards, getting them into player's hands (hopefully, no doubt some investors contacted me). With that steep discount, I got swarmed with requests and now have about $1000 more in my pocket than before. I was happy to sell at a discount because 1) my issues with high prices, 2) I didn't pay anywhere NEAR the going rate of most of these (2-3 cards were pennies when I bought them and now sell for $100).

In summary I miss the game, and morally don't want to engage with the company. have some weird feelings about suddenly having so much unexpected money, and still feel I charged too much.

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million. For Mega Millions it's one in 302.6 million. The US population in 2021 was estimated at 331.89 million, with another 3 million Americans living abroad, but to be President you have to be a natural born citizen and at least 35 years old. The 2021 American Community Survey estimated that about 281.1M citizens were born in the US. About 49.5% of Americans are under 35. Assuming that holds for the # of natural born citizens, it means that ~144.8 million are also old enough to be President. So if you are eligible to run, your odds of being president are at worst 1 in 144.8 million, better than either of the above lotteries.

Stengah wrote:

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million

Is that like when you open the wrapper and find TWO delicious protein-filled snacks instead of just one?

Stengah wrote:

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million. For Mega Millions it's one in 302.6 million. The US population in 2021 was estimated at 331.89 million, with another 3 million Americans living abroad, but to be President you have to be a natural born citizen and at least 35 years old. The 2021 American Community Survey estimated that about 281.1M citizens were born in the US. About 49.5% of Americans are under 35. Assuming that holds for the # of natural born citizens, it means that ~144.8 million are also old enough to be President. So if you are eligible to run, your odds of being president are at worst 1 in 144.8 million, better than either of the above lotteries.

You're answering the wrong question.

The statistic was "become President", not "fruitlessly run for President", which is the statistic you're calculating.

You need to be RICH to successfully run for President. Like, "the 0.1%" rich, so add another 3 or 4 orders of magnitude to your odds.

For text messages in movies I prefer they put the message on the side of the screen or speak the message. I don't like when they film the phone. Many times the phone is filmed in a way that makes it difficult to read.

Also be nice if they made sure subtitles are always readable. White texts against a white background is not readable. This really confuses me. Do they not watch the movie with subtitles to make sure everything looks okay. Is this not someone's job?

Are you referring to in theater specifically? At home it depends on the playback device and often you have options for how they appear.

Chairman_Mao wrote:

Are you referring to in theater specifically? At home it depends on the playback device and often you have options for how they appear.

Nope, both. Text messages are never subtitled. Also movies with hard subtitles are almost never subtitled like in movies that are mostly English with a few foreign words hardcoded in the film.

I am aware you can control the font and background of subtitles when at home but want am I'm going to do about temporary background changes that matches the text. Or when for some odd reason they don't translate what is being said but instead say something like "speaking in German" which is blocking the hardcoded English translation which just happen to me while watching Grimm on Amazon.

Baron Of Hell wrote:

Or when for some odd reason they don't translate what is being said but instead say something like "speaking in German" which is blocking the hardcoded English translation which just happen to me while watching Grimm on Amazon.

Yeah I just had this happen recently too. Maybe it was Stranger Things and it said "speaking Russian" but then that covered up the hard coded Russian translation. Really damn annoying.

Jonman wrote:
Stengah wrote:

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million. For Mega Millions it's one in 302.6 million. The US population in 2021 was estimated at 331.89 million, with another 3 million Americans living abroad, but to be President you have to be a natural born citizen and at least 35 years old. The 2021 American Community Survey estimated that about 281.1M citizens were born in the US. About 49.5% of Americans are under 35. Assuming that holds for the # of natural born citizens, it means that ~144.8 million are also old enough to be President. So if you are eligible to run, your odds of being president are at worst 1 in 144.8 million, better than either of the above lotteries.

You're answering the wrong question.

The statistic was "become President", not "fruitlessly run for President", which is the statistic you're calculating.

You need to be RICH to successfully run for President. Like, "the 0.1%" rich, so add another 3 or 4 orders of magnitude to your odds.

I'd look at this as reason number a billion why people should learn Bayesianism instead of regular statistics. Probably what the facticle actually meant was: "A randomly selected person is more likely to be the person who wins a presidential election than a randomly selected lottery number is to be the number that wins a lottery drawing" or somesuch. But that's completely unrelated to the likelihood of you winning the presidency or the lottery, which isn't really something that frequentist statistics is equipped to talk about.

merphle wrote:
Stengah wrote:

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million

Is that like when you open the wrapper and find TWO delicious protein-filled snacks instead of just one?

Yes, but only if your phone autocorrects you when it doesn't need to

Jonman wrote:
Stengah wrote:

The odds of winning the PowerBar jackpot is one in 292.2 million. For Mega Millions it's one in 302.6 million. The US population in 2021 was estimated at 331.89 million, with another 3 million Americans living abroad, but to be President you have to be a natural born citizen and at least 35 years old. The 2021 American Community Survey estimated that about 281.1M citizens were born in the US. About 49.5% of Americans are under 35. Assuming that holds for the # of natural born citizens, it means that ~144.8 million are also old enough to be President. So if you are eligible to run, your odds of being president are at worst 1 in 144.8 million, better than either of the above lotteries.

You're answering the wrong question.

The statistic was "become President", not "fruitlessly run for President", which is the statistic you're calculating.

You need to be RICH to successfully run for President. Like, "the 0.1%" rich, so add another 3 or 4 orders of magnitude to your odds.

.
No, I calculated what the article was trying to say. Your odds of fruitlessly running for president are pretty much 1:1 if you're not rich. Being rich enough to run a decent campaign greatly increases your odds, as do many other things, but your odds of winning are never worse than 1 in however many eligible citizens there are. Unlike the lotteries, someone does have to win each time.
Now, actually running for president is a lot more complicated and involved than buying a lottery ticket, and winning the election is not based on luck and random number generators, so they're not good comparisons to make, but that was how the article was comparing the odds for each thing.

Stengah wrote:

but your odds of winning are never worse than 1 in however many eligible citizens there are.

The odds of one thing being selected from N things are only 1/N if the selection is done randomly.

Or, put another way: your odds of winning the next presidential election can be considerably worse than 1 in the number of eligible citizens, for the same reason that your odds of winning a boxing match against Mike Tyson can be worse than one in two.

Saw this news article recently, and it occurred to me that we should understand by now that any organization in which large numbers of children are participants or members should have a reporting rate of child sexual abuse that at least aligns with the rate we see in the general population, or we can assume they are covering it up.

The laundry room in my building is unavailable today due to repairs, and yet today is the day my cat Socrates chose to throw up on my bed.