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This is a place to deposit political predictions you'd like to make in public, so that they can be easily found and referenced in the future. Thus, it is not a discussion thread; discussions of predictions should take place in other threads as conversations proceed. Explicit clarification questions and answers are fine, but "Why do you think that?" expositions should occur elsewhere so as not to clutter the repository. Predictions should be narrowly defined; testable with publicly available information at all times; have an explicit date range; and refer to events, people and places explicitly so as to leave no doubt of resolution; and they should be numbered sequentially so that they are easier to find at later dates. Edits must be clearly marked and original text preserved through the use of strike-throughs if the prediction is modified. Please avoid the use of generalities - "The President will change his mind on this topic" is less useful than "The President will change his policy from yes to no on this topic", because the latter prevents a tiny change from being claimed as success. Failed predictions should be marked in bold at the top of the post via an edit, leaving the rest intact.
If Biden is inaugurated, everyone who ever carried a "If Hilary was President I'd be at brunch right now" will, in fact, go back to brunch.
If Biden is inaugurated, everyone who ever carried a "If Hilary was President I'd be at brunch right now" will, in fact, go back to brunch.
Once the pandemic is over you can take this to the bank.
If Biden is inaugurated, everyone who ever carried a "If Hilary was President I'd be at brunch right now" will, in fact, go back to brunch.
Did Trump make brunch illegal? Who said that and why?
Edit: Is this referring to minorities being afraid of harassment in public places? Because that isn't going to stop just because Biden is elected. Those assholes now know how much support they have from local police and government. That shit isn't going to change overnight.
I also don't understand the reference, which likely reflects poorly on me as a person.
It means that generally, well-off urbanite white people who were not politically engaged before 2016 would not be protesting in as many numbers if a Democrat had won the White House, and while many of the same problems will continue to exist, if a Democrat wins the Presidency, those people will disengage and return to "normal" life. eg, brunch.
It’s about the #resistance twitter liberals who talk about the importance of being engaged in the political system but will go back to only talking about it once every four years when a democrat is in office.
EDIT: Freyja got this.
Freyja has got this, but I'll leave the picture. Exhibit A of privilege meeting #resistance.
Ahhhhhh. Thank you all for explaining. Much appreciated. Also, sad but true.
Thanks for clearing that up. I have been fortunate to not encounter those types personally.
Prediction: Trump is going to fleece his donors with a retread of the old Jill Stein "recount" scam.
Prediction: Trump is going to fleece his donors with a retread of the old Jill Stein "recount" scam.
The normal Republican grift would be a Recount the Votes! GoFundMe campaign where he keeps all the money.
Trump is done. I’m sure he will drag this out as long as possible, but his allies are dwindling fast.
My hope is that the current criminal investigation of him shifts into overdrive and he is behind bars in less than a year.
The infrastructure for Trump's opportunistic infection of Authoritarianism, though, is still up, running, and finely tuned. I am actually much more worried that a Trump 2.0 will be less saddled by the obvious buffoonery and far more focused on shit like Jews and ovens.
What’s the over/under on Presidential pardons that will be issued before the end of term to current and former members of the administration (and spouses). I’m guessing 35 plus Trump will try to issue blanket pardons for all crimes charged and not charged.
What’s the over/under on Presidential pardons that will be issued before the end of term to current and former members of the administration (and spouses). I’m guessing 35 plus Trump will try to issue blanket pardons for all crimes charged and not charged.
He might try, but there's no pardoning a crime without a conviction in court.
Ego Man wrote:What’s the over/under on Presidential pardons that will be issued before the end of term to current and former members of the administration (and spouses). I’m guessing 35 plus Trump will try to issue blanket pardons for all crimes charged and not charged.
He might try, but there's no pardoning a crime without a conviction in court.
That has never been legally challenged or settled and as we know, Trump is perfectly happy to do what ever he wants unless someone stops him
He might try, but there's no pardoning a crime without a conviction in court.
From the American Bar Association:
The legal record is also clear that a president can pardon for a presumptive crime, like what then-President Gerald Ford did with his predecessor Richard Nixon on Sept. 8, 1974. In the aftermath of Watergate, Ford gave Nixon, who resigned from the presidency a month earlier, an “absolute pardon for all offenses against the United States which he, Richard Nixon, has committed or may have committed or taken part in during the period from Jan. 20, 1969 through Aug. 9, 1974.”
So the start date for Trump's will be June 14, 1946, then.
Not sure where to put this so figure it belongs in the prediction thread.
Claims of demographic destiny and White conservatives becoming a minority are officially overblown as of this election. Why? Well, Latinos are breaking in heavy numbers for Trump and Republicans.
There has been a very successful effort among Latinx voters to associate Democrats in the US with socialism and the putatively socialist governments of South and Central America. I've heard a few reports about this, and it's basically flown under the radar of a lot of English-speaking Americans because the effort has been conducted mostly in Spanish. Where a lot of white liberals associate socialism with Sweden and Norway, a lot of Latinx people associate socialism with El Salvador and Nicaragua.
jdzappa wrote:Not sure where to put this so figure it belongs in the prediction thread.
Claims of demographic destiny and White conservatives becoming a minority are officially overblown as of this election. Why? Well, Latinos are breaking in heavy numbers for Trump and Republicans.
There has been a very successful effort among Latinx voters to associate Democrats in the US with socialism and the putatively socialist governments of South and Central America. I've heard a few reports about this, and it's basically flown under the radar of a lot of English-speaking Americans because the effort has been conducted mostly in Spanish. Where a lot of white liberals associate socialism with Sweden and Norway, a lot of Latinx people associate socialism with El Salvador and Nicaragua.
I saw a decent Twitter thread explaining that from Patricia Mazzei, the NYT's Miami bureau chief.
There's also pretty heavy evidence that we shouldn't even be talking about "the Latino vote" because Latinos aren't anything like a monolithic voting bloc.
ClockworkHouse wrote:jdzappa wrote:Not sure where to put this so figure it belongs in the prediction thread.
Claims of demographic destiny and White conservatives becoming a minority are officially overblown as of this election. Why? Well, Latinos are breaking in heavy numbers for Trump and Republicans.
There has been a very successful effort among Latinx voters to associate Democrats in the US with socialism and the putatively socialist governments of South and Central America. I've heard a few reports about this, and it's basically flown under the radar of a lot of English-speaking Americans because the effort has been conducted mostly in Spanish. Where a lot of white liberals associate socialism with Sweden and Norway, a lot of Latinx people associate socialism with El Salvador and Nicaragua.
I saw a decent Twitter thread explaining that from Patricia Mazzei, the NYT's Miami bureau chief.
There's also pretty heavy evidence that we shouldn't even be talking about "the Latino vote" because Latinos aren't anything like a monolithic voting bloc.
The networks were noting the difference between Cuban-Americans in Florida, and Mexican-Americans in the Southwest.
So the start date for Trump's will be June 14, 1946, then.
Asshole ruined Flag Day and, more importantly, my birthday.
Biden wins. After two years of not being able to seat a single federal judge at any level due to Senate obstruction says "f this", resigns, and goes back to Delaware to drink and farm.
Harris is assassinated within 48 hours of being sworn in.
Trump loses. In 2022 he announces he's running for president again, but this time as an Independent because he's still mad that the GOP didn't completely back his insane claims that Democrats stole the 2020 election.
Trump loses. In 2022 he announces he's running for president again, but this time as an Independent because he's still mad that the GOP didn't completely back his insane claims that Democrats stole the 2020 election.
Yes, please!
OG_slinger wrote:Trump loses. In 2022 he announces he's running for president again, but this time as an Independent because he's still mad that the GOP didn't completely back his insane claims that Democrats stole the 2020 election.
Yes, please!
No please.
There will be a COVID relief package by the end of February 2021. It will be vastly insufficient.
The only major piece of legislation passed before the midterms will be called a criminal justice reform bill. It will greatly increase police funding. That funding will be used to purchase more riot gear and "warrior mindset" training.
In some cities, police uniform standards will include pronoun badges. They will only be available in he/him and she/her.
They will cover the badges.
Record time to prediction being right
https://twitter.com/callawalsh/statu...
@CallaWalsh
HAHAH MY BOSS JUST ASKED ME TO COME IN EARLY BECAUSE WE HAVE A RECORD NUMBER OF BRUNCH RESERVATIONS IM IN PAIN
Lol
This is in Massachusetts, where there's a stay at home order, so I don't know how this is gonna work.
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