Bush's long term impact to the GOP
I had a conversation last night with an old buddy of mine who spent some time in the Department of the Interior under Bush 41. It wasn't exactly a happy conversation. We were talking about the current Republican presidential field and what it tells us about the state of the party.
He posited that the success of the GOP in winning national office in the last 30 years has mostly had to do with the fact that its message has been remarkably consistent, the party had invested a lot in grassroots infrastructure, and that the political machine promoted candidates that could be counted on to reflect the values of the party. In that sense, the candidate himself was really just an afterthought. They could run a ham sandwich (and often did) and still be guaranteed a strong showing in the national polls.
Unfortunately, the impact of two terms of the Bush 43 administration has been the complete and utter destruction of pretty much everything that the GOP ever really stood for. Fiscal responsibility, realistic foreign policy, reduction and/or reigning in of invasive government... all of these have been replaced with a culture of corruption and secrecy that has fractured the base of the GOP. The evidence of this is the fact that Republicans are acting like Democrats in that they are looking for a messianic candidate with "personality" that can "save" the party.
The think tanks and prominent academics that lent legitimacy to the Republican message have been severely damaged by their support of Bush as well. At least inside the beltway, even the rational arguments forwarded by folks like Heritage and AEI are automatically discounted because of the history of support for neocons and the very clear failure in Iraq. It is notable that Cato and others saw the iceberg before Bush did and got in the lifeboats early.
We sat around wondering what it would take to rebuild the party. I opined that the infrastructure was still there despite the damage. He stated that he's pretty much done with fundraising until the GOP gets its head together. We both, however, agreed that the best thing that could happen to the GOP would be a Hillary Clinton victory in September.
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In truth as a Centrist myself it is odd to see the Republican party go through the same conflicting goals as the Democratic party has suffered for decades now. It is absolutely true that the success of the Republican party centers around it's ability to rally around a single candidate and rally around a single set of ideals and goals. However this has left the party weak when it realizes that not all Republicans are behind the GOP. In fact the GOP has taken such a huge step to the right that even long standing members of the Republican party are holding up their hands and asking the powers in the party to take a second look at what they are doing. The push towards a more faithful following of the original and perhaps pure intentions of the Republican party of old is being done by Governor Christine Todd Whitman and a hand full of others in the It's My Party Too campaign. They have realized that the GOP is no longer looking after the best interests of the party as a whole and instead of catering to a select few and the most radical of the party. This might be akin to the Democratic party being run by the Green Party or a few of the most liberal or left of the party. It is the Centrists of the Republicans and Democrats and to so extent the Libertarians who more now than ever demonstrate the will of the majority of America. However we are stuck in the ideology that a two party system still works which is our first downfall. This country was not formed on simply two parties but the collection of many parties all with different outlooks of the future. Instead of pigeon holing ourselves into choosing the lesser of two evils we should instead push towards a broader contest. When we have more than two parties then we will have a better sampling of the population. I would want to see honestly four parties at minimum campaigning for the Presidency. It would then be less about, "My platform is different than the other platform and so it's better.", and more about, "This is my platform and it is in my opinion what is best for the country.". Suddenly citizens can vote not because of blind loyalty, not because of us versus them, but because they actually believe in something again.
It is time to look outside the box and outside the two party system. Both parties have made a mockery of the system and are nothing but mirror images of themselves and yet at times carbon copies of each other. I am tired of Red and Blue. I want yellow, orange, purple and green in the mix. Give me more choices and let someone else have a chance. It's time for a change.
Prederick wrote:
"When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." - Sinclair Lewis.
And what happens when you have a 3 or more party system with the same splintering? An even smaller faction controlling government that wont be able to get anything done because of obstructionism. It will be even harder to get consensus and the pork will have to go even further to address radicals to get a few crucial votes.
No, the problem isnt the 2 party system. The problem is the public's political apathy. There is much blame to go around from fearmongerers, pretty talking heads news givers with little or no journalism experience, political corruption from top to bottom, sensationalist schadenfraude, the overpower of the advertising dollar, etc.
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I'm actually waxing nostalgic to the days of gridlock. It sure as hell beats rapid movement in an obviously bad direction. The worst thing that ever happened to the GOP was Bush 43 and Tom DeLay.
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I would have substituted Cheney, Rumsfield, Wolfowitz for Bush 43 and wholely agree on Tom Delay. Im glad Delay seems to have been relegated to anonymity these days. He had a brief blurp about his book comming out and then the press realized that nobody cared.
edit: I meant to say that gridlock with a 2 party system = checks and balances, gridlock with a 5,6,7 or 8 party system = chaos.
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It is amazing to me how simply splintered the republican party has become, they've seriously begun looking just like democrats. From the border issue, to the iraq war, the politicians are all bowing to their corporate gods and are really breaking from what the American people want.
The only real way to change the face of politics in America is frankly illegal to discuss, but we all know the truth. It's pretty sad that the people of America are too lazy to do anything of substance about it.
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Hot and covered in ketchup.
Agreed, but the good guys--pansy liberals like me--would lose because we're outnumbered and outgunned.
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fixed that for you.
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I would change that to say that with a 2 party system you end up with voter disenfranchisement because there isn't any real difference between canidates, while with multi-parties the voters turn out, but the elected officials themselves can't do anything because there are too many big headed idiots that have to have their ego satisfied. I suppose in the long run that would mean that people would get fed up and not vote in the long run.
So maybe the answer is to continuously change the system of government.
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Every time I look at the parties I am reminded of a line from Red vs. Blue. "Red and Blue are the same!" uttered by one of the characters (I do not remember which one.) We spend our days debating socialized medicine, abortion, the War, racism, and whether Barry Bonds took 'roids, while those in office piss away our money and our lives. Being Human I am not sure any compromise we make for civilization and safety is going to be perfect, but I also think we have turned over control of everything from our political parties to the nation in general to anti-intellectuals who have no intention of permanently solving any real problems. As for the GOP specifically, I think if they refocused on the smaller entrepreneur and on a more diversified attitude towards religion, that it would be a step in the right direction.
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Wait, I was unaware that the government was capable of moving in any non-bad direction.
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(Left) A ---- B ----- C ---- D (Right)
This is my example on my opinion of multiparty system. In a four party system as seen above you will most likely have that sort of separation. Two parties more towards the middle while two more parties taking up the extremes. Evangelicals, NRA and Militias will most likely be in the D party. Centrist types in the C party, Libertarians in the B party and ultra Liberals in the A party.
In Congress if for some reason all four parties hold power then you will have certain issues that take the cooperation of multiple parties to pass. For example there will be bills that will probably be favorable for both the B and C parties but are either too liberal for the D party or too conservative for the A party. However if the majority of B and C parties vote for it, then it will pass. Perhaps there is a bill that D party brings to the floor that needs the help of the C party to pass it through. So after a bit of negotiation across the floor, C and D agree to a compromise and vote on a bill.
So in a sense you have a similar method in passing bills as you do now however with more opinions and issues of importance. Hence there will be more negotiation and through that hopefully better bills and resolutions passed. I believe it may take a little longer than it does now but I don't believe it will take so long that it's not bearable. I see no issues with a multi-party system in the US larger than two. It seems to work just fine in the UK.
Prederick wrote:
"When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." - Sinclair Lewis.
For a country so enchanted with the positive power of competition and market forces, why is the political system restricted to two parties. (Genuine ignorance-born question.)
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Certis wrote:
From many years of experience of living in different European countries with both bipartisan and multi-party systems, I can reassure you that gridlock actually tends to happen less in multi-party systems than bipartisan systems.
There is a certain tit-for-tat mentality implied in gridlocking: if you do it to us, we'll do it to you. If you do that consistently in a multi-party system, you'll never get anything done. This in turn will put voters off at the next elections, and, given that this is now an option, result in votes migrating from the centre to the extreme right or left. Which the centre wants to avoid, so it tends to play nice.
So you end up with coalitions programs, horsetrading and tacit voting agreements instead. It's all fairly lacklustre and big changes in policy as seen in bipartisan systems are rare, but it generally is stable.
Remember though, while we discuss bi-partisan vs. multi-partisan, that the American system is not a parliamentary one and therefore the dynamics MIGHT be a little different with more then two parties. I can see a third party not having control of either house nor the presidency and having to fight for relevancy. OTOH if a third party grabbed the presidency, he might now have troubles if he (or she) did not control either house. Just something to keep in mind.
There are two kinds of men in the world, those with loaded guns and those who dig. You dig.
Gridlock is a wonderful, magical thing. Gridlock is the best result of a two-party system. I don't want them working together over there. The longer they stay with their horns locked, the less damage they can do.
I think that's your answer, Baggz.
The problem is that there are centrist and extreme camps in both, and given the low voter turnouts, it's easier to win by getting your extremists ("the base") to turn out and vote than it is to convince the centrists to choose you. If we could raise turnout amongst the centrists (like me), then we'd have less problems with extremists getting elected -- especially if they get lucky enough to escape the gridlock.
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Ya I think the problem lies in the primaries where it seems the trend is that either the extremist or a someone who doesnt make waves wins a state or two and the snowball gets rolling.
Being fangoriously devoured by a gelatinous monster.
The more parties there are the more parties towards the middle you will have. Like my diagram above in my previous post and like wordsmythe said the more parties you have in the middle the less likely you will have an extremist nut elected into office. Hence less swinging left to right constantly. I do not discriminate I hate Evangelicals and Green Peace equally.
Prederick wrote:
"When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." - Sinclair Lewis.
I move we start calling the "wings" the left and right nuts.
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Isn't the exact opposite true? The more parties we have, particularly in the middle, the more fractured the vote will become and the more likely a 15% "majority" on one of the wings will win.
If there has ever been an election when a 3rd party candidate can really have a shot, this seems to be the one. So many of us are so disenfranchised with both parties that many Americans would at least give a legit 3rd party guy/gal serious consideration. Ironically, as polarized as we are right now, the candidates have never looked more similar, to me anyway.
The topic that started this was what impact W has on the GOP and as one of the people the GOP takes for granted (conservative Christian), I would gladly vote for a 3rd party/Democrat if one was available and did so in the 2006 elections. I look at the GOP now with much disdain and cringe at the thought of voting for one of them, but look at the Democrats and feel the same way. The primaries will long be decided before I get to take part, but it really doesn't matter anyway.
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Wait a sec. Conservative Christians feel disenfranchised by the GOP? Did I miss something in the last Congress's agenda? Hell, at least the party didn't look at you and go, "Small Governmenwhosits? Fiscal What?"
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It's amazing how much we get stereotyped as Christians and as conservatives (well, I'm conservative in a pretty antiquaited sense). Plenty of Christians still think there are values to small government and fiscal responsibility, the same as there are values to prudence and caution and not committing human rights violations to untried prisoners.
The real question for the disenfranchised is whether we should abandon this redefined GOP, and if so, if we should vote Dem or for a third party.
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I didn't say they didn't. But you had plenty of issues brought to the floor by the 109th Congress that should've made a self-avowed conservative Christian happy. You had the Shaivo to-do, followed by the (failed) Constitutional Restoration Act, plus a good portion of 2006 was spent arguing over the definition of marriage and how it fit in the context of a same-sex union. They went far enough to propose an amendment to set it in stone. Not exactly pandering to the small government wonks at that point, were they? What do I care if gay people want to get married? Instead of Tax-reform or cutting spending, we get new and varied versions of "Adam and Eve, not Adam and Steve". It's a goddamn disgrace.
Yeah, I don't know what I'm voting for at this point.
Psychotic Foreign Teenage Chicks are so hot. - Legion
I find it ironic anytime a healthy vaccinated person bitches about science...on the internet. - MaverickDago
I happen to be one of those small-government wonks. I go to church and am a christian, too. I don't think the gvernment should ahve anything to do with what is and isn't a "marriage." Marriage is a religious term by its nature, so it should be in the law at all.
I'm leaning toward Ron Paul or Obama, depending on how much coffee I've had. This was the point I wanted to make about the "christian" stereotype.
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Check out Paul's blog. I got an email saying he posted two videos of speeches he made the other day from an impromptu rally and a scheduled one.
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I resist the whole "small government/big government" debate because I think it's really the wrong way of thinking of things. There are functions in a modern society that require big government (e.g.: the CDC, Interstate commerce, national defense, monetary policy) and attempts to privatize them have been pretty disasterous (e.g.: the explosion of contracting fraud in Iraq). There are other functions that are better handled at a local level.
The problem with simplistic mantras like "big government bad" is that blunt instruments like that don't really do any constructive work. All they do is give people with narrow political agendas (like lining their pockets at the expense of taxpayers) convenient tools with which to manipulate voters.
As voters, we should be concentrating on competent governance, not sloganeering. And it is painfully clear that we have had none of the former and lots of the latter.
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I think this applies to me more than the majority of Conservative Christians, maybe I spoke too broadly, though I know several that agree. I'll admit that during the 2004 campaign the issues of the day had a major effect on my vote (homosexual marriage, etc.), but I've matured quite a bit in my faith since then and realize that I was absolutely, positively duped by weasely politicians whoring the message of Christ for my vote. Quite frankly, looking back on it, I'm ashamed of it. Would I change my vote to Kerry? I don't think so, but I'd vote Bush again with much less enthusiasm.
The Shaivo incident you mentioned was really the first thing that opened my eyes, what a mess. I think both sides have completely valid and just points, but it was the Broadway production of absolute pandering that caught me. Then, that whole series of "Justice Sundays" or whatever they were called where churches basically help Republican rallies really angered me.
I guess in becoming more serious about the true message of Christ recently, I've come to understand that the Republican leaders are so far off that message as to be silly. I may agree with them on some individual issues, but their behavior has been a giant neon sign advertising the reasons to seperate church and state. Interestingly, my concern is much more for the church being tainted than the state. Their faith-speak has proven so hollow, but their governance is what really hacks me right off:
Faith is an integral part of my life, but it's hard to reconcile it in politics. The "Republican" platform of small government and fiscal responsibility is really what matters for my vote, which has absolutely been abused. So the combination of hollow faith-speak and the opposite of fiscal conservatism has greatly altered my views.
My absolute opinion of Democrats has not changed one bit, but relative to Republicans, they at least look are somewhat less non-votable. Quite honestly, the choices make me sick, and I believe many feel this way, which is why I genuinely believe a third party candidate can have a legit shot this year.
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Again people are straightjacketed by this two-party mentality. "Don't blame me; I voted for Kodos."
A "third party" has no chance, because even conscientious, thoughtful votes are drowned in the ballots of the morlocks who get all their political info from the tee-vee.
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I didn't say it's a mantra. I just think that all government acts should be carefully planned and thoroughly debated, and then rigorously constrained and monitored.
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And by and large, they are when the electorate isn't manipulated by simpleminded mantra politics like "small government" libertarian nonsense. It is notable that the government that was swept in on that particular ticket managed to pork-barrell its way into the biggest deficits we have seen in American history.
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Beyond notable, it's lamentable, but i'm not sure many people actually believed they'd deliver on yanking government's choke collar.
But I disagree about the government being by and large careful and controlled. Not in my quarter century of life, at least.
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